Approaching the Limits to Growth

This web site is dedicated to my partner and soul-mate Estelle.  She showed me that awakening to the true state of the world we live in has genuine value only when it is complemented by an awakening to the true state of our inner world.

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Over the past couple of years I have used this site as a notebook to record my thoughts about some of the large-scale developments in the world.  It was prompted by my discovery of Peak Oil, and has since broadened to cover a range of topics like climate change, overpopulation, ecological damage and food security.  The common theme of my exploration has been the dawning realization that our global industrial civilization is facing imminent biophysical limits to its growth.

Quick, wake up and kiss your children goodbye!

During this journey my mood darkened considerably.  I discovered that the moment of Peak Oil has now arrived; that there is no combination of alternative energies that can keep our industries running as they have on oil and gas; that we have passed the climatic tipping point; that the oceans will not recover their former glory; that we are even facing the limit of our ability to grow food.  I was seized by dread, and portents of apocalyptic doom washed over me.  I responded by writing long, passionate essays about the coming die-off, in which billions of people will lose their lives prematurely, leaving humanity’s survivors marooned in a world starved of the most basic resources.

As a result, many of my articles have been been profoundly depressing.  I have tended to focus on the potential for hopelessly negative outcomes, to the exclusion (and through the exclusion) of all else.  Much of my writing has been a robust defense of despair.  Despite the occasional attempt to pull back from the brink (as in my discussions of Deep Ecology and “Gaia’s antibodies) the facts of the situation have made it very difficult to see much hope  for our future.

Fortunately, further reflection in areas not directly related to ecology, population or energy has finally allowed me to understand that there are legitimate, positive directions we can take even in the teeth of our Perfect Storm.  Some of these perceptions are discussed in my article Fighting Despair.  As a result, the time has come for me to shift the tone of the discussion and offer a perspective that moves beyond fate, locked doors and doom.

Things are as they are.

Now, this change of tone does not mean that I will be backing away from any of the facts I have discovered on this journey.   It is clear to anyone who has been following the news that the converging crisis we face is no longer the stuff of theory, of arcane computer models or speculation in learned journals.  It has become the stuff of our daily lives, and its implications become clearer every day.

There is an accelerating flood of news stories about Peak Oil, climate change, shrinking food supplies, a global economy on the brink, dying oceans, shrinking fresh water supplies, and a world population that is still growing by 75 million people every year.  It is obvious that the Limits to Growth that that the Club of Rome warned us about in 1970 have arrived.

Because of the cultural messages we are bathed in every day, we feel an irresistible urge to "fix the problem", to get busy and do even more of what seemed to work in the past — to innovate and expand.  The problem is that expansion got us into this mess and so is unlikely to get us out, and innovation just creates ever more ingenious ways to drain our remaining resources a little bit slower.  Even worse, in our urgency we make terrible mistakes, such as mining our food supply for transportation fuel.  Becoming ever more clever will only make our problems worse.

There is no technical solution to this dilemma.  There is no "solution" that will keep things running much like they have in the past, with just a few minor adjustments to our technologies and lifestyles.  The problem is too large and complex for any such solution to exist.

There appears to be little chance for a social solution either, one that would result in a wholesale reorientation of our culture's devotion to material growth.  The economic, commercial, political, social and educational institutions that define our culture will work tirelessly to defeat any such change, as it undercuts their very reason for being.

A massive, involuntary, physical transformation of our civilization now appears inevitable.  This will not be not some New Age "transformation of universal energy" based on the Mayan calender.  This will be a fundamental change in the physical circumstances of our lives, driven by encountering biophysical limits to our growth as a culture, civilization and species.

The shape this transformation will take in various places as it sweeps across the planet cannot be known.  There is no way to avoid the transformation, it is an elemental force much like other large changes humanity has lived through in the past.  An example of a previous change on the scale of the one we're now facing might be the last great Ice Age.

We cannot control the coming changes.  What we can control, though, is our personal response to them. There is one quality that would improve our chances of emerging from the transformation as sane and sustainable members of the community of life.   What is that quality?  In a word, it's wisdom.

Intelligence vs. Wisdom

Wisdom is a curious thing.  The difference between wisdom and mere intelligence is that intelligence is directly tied to brain functions of the prefrontal cortex, whereas wisdom arises from internalizing the lessons of life experience. Wisdom relies on the ability to coordinate one’s life with the world, including other humans, as well as the ability to comprehend causes and effects through dynamic systems relations — to see the world as a whole and understand the interconnections between seemingly separate objects and processes.  Wisdom is unifying rather than dualistic, holistic rather than reductionist.

A wise person will recognize good opportunities on all levels as they present themselves, and will tend to seize them. They will also recognize poor choices, and will tend to avoid them.  The best feature of wisdom is that it works at every level. All human decisions, from the personal to the strategic, are made by individuals.  A wise consumer might choose to spend more on local produce to foster local, family farms.  A wise community leader might choose to resist a developer who dangles the carrot of tax revenues from a new subdivision.  A wise national leader might remove the subsidies that encourage the development of food-based biofuels, and put the nation’s money instead into rail electrification.

One wise person in a position of power can change the world.  The best way to ensure that wise people rise to power is to increase the number of wise people in the world.

Can wisdom be taught?  Unlike intelligence, which appears to be tied to our brain and can only be trained, I believe that wisdom can indeed be taught.  Remember, there are two main components to wisdom – experience and holistic, system-oriented thinking.  To that pair I might add a third – empathy towards other people and life in general.  While our brain function is hard-wired, the skills of holistic thought, self-awareness and empathy are all within the learning reach of the average person, given just a bit of motivation and guidance.

In fact, I’m pretty sure the amount of wisdom in the world is on the increase today.  We have seen the global response to Al Gore’s movie “An Inconvenient Truth”;  the burgeoning awareness of Peak Oil; the growing revulsion towards factory-raised food animals and the whale and seal hunts; the change of world opinion regarding crop-based biofuels from enthusiastic acceptance to militant rejection; the recent blossoming of the “personal transformation movement” though Eckhart Tolle’s collaboration with Oprah Winfrey – all this is encouraging evidence that the amount of wisdom in the world is growing, and just in the nick of time.

Encouraging the growth of your own wisdom is the greatest gift you can give the world.

Wisdom lets you see your own way forward more clearly and lets you see how you might influence others to make wiser choices as well.  Unlike simple universal prescriptions for "correct behaviour", wisdom gives you the ability to make better choices no matter what circumstances you find yourself in.  Who knows, if you are a politician it may give you the insight and courage you need to lead many of your fellow men off the path to certain disaster and toward more positive destinations.

The coming changes represent not only the greatest challenge humanity has ever faced, but also the greatest opportunity that has ever been presented to us.  Improving our ability to make wise decisions is not only the best chance we have, in the final analysis it is the only way we can become sane, sustainable members of the community of life.

Wishing you wisdom,

Paul Chefurka

A Meditation

You have been telling people it is the Eleventh Hour.
Now you must go back and tell the people this is THE HOUR.

There are many things to consider:
Where are you living?
What are you doing?
What are your relationships?
Are you in right relation?
Where is your water?
Know your garden.

It is time to speak your truth.
Create your community. Be good to each other.
And do not look outside of yourself for a leader.

This could be a good time!
There is a river flowing now very fast.
It is so great and swift that there are those who will be afraid.
They will try to hold on to the shore.
They will feel they are being torn apart and will suffer greatly.
Know the river has its own destination.
The Elders say:
We must let go of the shore, push off into the middle of the river,
keep our hearts open and our heads above water.
See who is in there with you and celebrate.

At this time in history, we are to take nothing personally, least of all ourselves.
For the moment we do, our spiritual growth and journey comes to a halt.
The time of the lone wolf is over.
Gather yourselves.
Banish the word struggle from your attitude and your vocabulary.
All that we do now must be done in a sacred manner and in celebration.

For WE are the ONES we've been waiting for.



The Elders, Oraibi, Arizona Hopi Nation   

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